And while early operations will be geofenced to areas the company considers to be safest, the program could generate valuable training data and help set the stage for larger-scale commercialization in the future. The first area to watch on the upside is the $532 pivot; a daily close above this level could bring the $600 region into focus. On pullbacks, initial How to invest in 5g support lies near $407, followed by the $351 simple moving average (SMA) level.
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Financially, Tesla is solid, ending third quarter with more than $41 billion in cash/investments and generating a record $4 billion in free cash flow. Tesla delivered 497,099 vehicles in the third quarter of 2025, up 7.4% year over year and marking a new quarterly record. Despite such rampant growth, BYD stock trades at a reasonable 17 times forward earnings estimates, with a price to sales ratio of 0.9.
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Yesterday, a major institutional investor, Norway’s sovereign-wealth fund — which owns more than 1% stake in the electric vehicle (EV) giant — disclosed that it would vote against Musk’s massive remuneration package. While the Norwegian fund recognizes the value Musk has created for Tesla, it’s worried about how huge the pay package is, the potential share dilution and the company’s heavy reliance on him. And these concerns are similar to what proxy advisors Glass Lewis and ISS have also said, urging investors to vote against the compensation plan. Tesla faces several potential challenges, including increased competition from other electric vehicle manufacturers and traditional automakers entering the EV market. Regulatory changes, supply chain constraints, and economic fluctuations could also impact Tesla’s growth trajectory.
Bullish Technicals, Volume in Focus
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- Beyond automotive, Tesla’s energy division, including solar and energy storage products, is poised for substantial growth.
- Tesla’s focus remains on upcoming launches — the Cybercab, Tesla Semi, and Megapack 3 — all expected in 2026.
- With millions of vehicles already equipped with self-driving hardware, the company is well positioned to scale as regulations evolve.
- Despite such rampant growth, BYD stock trades at a reasonable 17 times forward earnings estimates, with a price to sales ratio of 0.9.
By March 2025, the price had dropped below $250, and it wasn’t just the price correction that sent the stock down. Another major factor that initially drove TSLA’s price higher but then had a negative impact on it was concerns about Elon Musk’s close ties to Donald Trump. A leading position in the US Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) raised doubts about whether this could shift Musk’s focus from Tesla.
If it’s your first time signing up for SoFi, you’ll receive up to $1,000 in stock when you first fund your account. Plus, get a 1% bonus if you transfer your investments and keep them there until December 31, 2025. After climbing to their current 2024 high in early July, Tesla shares retraced as much as 33% before finding support from a prior multi-month downtrend line and the neckline of an inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Consequently, the best way to think about the recent events is that Tesla is becoming a higher-risk/higher-reward proposition. The company’s plans to aggressively ramp up production are based on the assumption that its unsupervised full self-driving solutions will become a reality. Investors have to monitor EV competitors to see if they can continue to take market share away from Tesla. Optimus and Cybercab falling below expectations would be big blows to Tesla’s bull case. Elon Musk is either the company’s greatest strength or weakness, depending on how you view the billionaire entrepreneur.
How’s Tesla Positioned Now? EVs, Robotaxis & More
He has more than 10 years of writing experience focused on finance and digital marketing. News & World Report, USA Today, InvestorPlace and other publications. Tesla stock may be a good investment if Cybercabs and Optimus rapidly gain market share. Forecasts point to a potential average trajectory for Tesla as new business lines develop. By this stage, Optimus robots could start moving toward mainstream adoption, with Musk outlining significant ambitions for the platform.
They are the key to unlocking value for both investors and Tesla EV owners. Supporters see him as the visionary who can turn big ideas into reality — but the targets tied to his compensation are extremely ambitious. And let’s not forget that Tesla has a track record of delayed timelines and lofty promises that take longer to materialize. Tesla’s focus remains on upcoming launches — the Cybercab, Tesla Semi, and Megapack 3 — all expected in 2026. Its Optimus humanoid robot also remains on track for a production-intent prototype next year.
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Chinese-made EVs have been penetrating Tesla market share in China and other countries, but a 100% U.S. tariff on Chinese EVs is the main reason they haven’t made a dent in the U.S. On the brighter side, Statista projects an annualized 6% growth rate for the EV industry as a whole from now until 2029. Looking ahead to 2026 and beyond, Tesla’s future stock price is expected to be shaped by significant technological advancements, market expansions, and strategic initiatives. Analysts present a diverse range of forecasts, reflecting both optimistic and cautious perspectives on Tesla’s future. Meanwhile, Tesla’s robotaxi initiative, launched in Austin in June, has expanded to California, Nevada, and Arizona. With millions of vehicles already equipped with self-driving hardware, the company is well positioned to scale as regulations evolve.
- On the other hand, if Musk is right about robotaxis and unsupervised FSD, then it would be a major mistake not to ramp up production in anticipation of future demand.
- The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return.
- The company is reinvesting in initiatives like Optimus and Cybercabs to reward long-term investors.
- Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.
- If Musk succeeds in achieving these milestones, it will increase shareholder value significantly.
Tesla (TSLA) shares jumped nearly 5% Monday to move into the green for the year after several analysts highlighted potential catalysts that could drive the stock’s near-term momentum. The expiration of the $7,500 electric vehicle (EV) tax credit prompted a surge in third-quarter deliveries, with Wall Street estimating around 441,500 Tesla vehicles ahead of the deadline (Reuters, 1 October 2025). However, European demand softened, with German registrations falling 9.4% in September (Reuters, 6 October 2025). Looking ahead, analysts and algorithmic-based sources project that TSLA stock will continue to grow from 2026 onward, though estimates vary widely due to numerous influencing factors. While some sources anticipate a sharp rally—possibly doubling Tesla’s current share price and surpassing the $1,000 mark as early as 2026—others maintain a more conservative outlook, expecting moderate growth toward $600.
Despite production bottlenecks, the stock price reached new heights, peaking at $25.97 in mid-2017. The unveiling of the Cybertruck in 2019 and the ramp-up of production in the Shanghai Gigafactory kickstarted significant bullish momentum, with TSLA ending 2019 at $27.89. It’s possible this thinking is also causing some reticence to deliver lower-cost (say $25,000) vehicles, as robotaxis and unsupervised FSD should increase Tesla EV values anyway. Prediction market Polymarket currently gives the pay package a 93% chance of passing. Marc Guberti is an investing writer passionate about helping people learn more about money management, investing and finance.
Another potential reason for TSLA stock depreciation was Musk’s controversial political activities, which could significantly reduce the number of Tesla customers. Tesla’s journey in the stock market has been marked by significant milestones and periods of volatility. Since its initial public offering (IPO) in June 2010, when it debuted at $17 per share, Tesla has seen dramatic price changes driven by key events and developments. This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months. Tesla is now aggressively adjusting its operations on the assumption that it will succeed with robotaxis and achieve its unsupervised FSD goals. The importance of robotaxis and publicly available unsupervised FSD (the two are not the same thing, and the latter is likely to lag the former) can’t be overstated.
Recent refreshes of the Model Y and Model 3 did little to stop the bleeding. New business verticals will likely be the only way for Tesla to regain a growth trajectory. Since that time, the EV maker’s stock has trended higher to recover most of those losses, with gains accelerating in recent trading sessions. It’s also worth noting that the 50-day moving average (MA) crossed above the 200-day MA in late July to form a golden cross, a bullish chart signal that predicts higher prices.